Escapable Logic
Design Study for a New MicroEconomy

 



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  Saturday, January 21, 2006


Sliced Bread 1.5

I've been excited about the Since Sliced Bread (SSB) idea contest ever since EchoDitto's Michael Silberman explained it to our ORGware development team at dinner the week before it launched. The SEIU's innovative contest, which ultimately put $200,000 on the line, was sure to demonstrate the power of engaging the wisdom of the crowd to find the best and the brightest of the common-sense ideas out there.

Well. The Law of Unintended Outcomes has not been repealed, and the devil remains in the details. More than 22,000 ideas were submitted and a zillion comments written about them. That's the good news and the bad news. How could it be bad news? The crowd that shared its wisdom with SEIU became so invested in the process that, like SlashDotters discussing Linux sockets APIs, they had strong opinions about the system's design. Although clearly shell-shocked and reluctant to mix it up with its disgruntled members, the SSB blog acknowledged the problems by putting up a guest post by SSB member Scott C. last Wednesday: Best Revolt Since Sliced Bread.

This is incredibly exciting for us at the Open Resource Group, because these are the issues we spend every day fretting about, as we design a system that will handle a contest like this as reliably and elegantly as your email client does its complex SMTP/POP3/MIME Dance. 

Today I'll review the reviews and finger the probable cause, which I think of as a "filtering slope." Next time, I'll describe ORGware's specific mechanisms for teasing the best thinking and passion out of any size community so that the community's sponsor can spread their cash around for maximum impact. In fact, a contest like this should generate more cash than it costs. If the Dean campaign and Katrina taught us anything, it's that people will stand in line to back up their passion with hard cash.

Over at the Personal Democracy Forum, Jan Frel wrote Community Toasts SEIU's Sliced Bread:

It was supposed to be one of the Service Employees International Union's leaps into bottom-up online consensus building, but the community blowback at the Since Sliced Bread project that broke out this week has all the appearances of being an online revolt.

Since Sliced Bread is a $100,000 contest inviting people to send in ideas to improve the lives of working people in America. As described by SEIU on the site: The contest encouraged ordinary Americans, policy experts and economists to enter fresh ideas on how to create the kinds of jobs that allow people to raise families, obtain affordable health insurance, pay for college and save for retirement."

Designed by the web technology firm EchoDitto, some of whose employees are former colleagues of mine from Howard Dean’s presidential campaign, Since Sliced Bread's architecture appeared in many respects rather open and bottom-up oriented. Anybody could send in his or her proposals. Visitors were encouraged to participate in the community blog . . .

. . . But only a few days into the voting process, things started going terribly pear shaped. In a nutshell, the big contention is that the judges picked a bunch of rather unfresh, and tame ideas.

"NO VOTE FROM ME! All these ideas suck. I wouldn't pay $5 for any of them. What a waste of time," went one commenter's response. "I too am very disappointed in the lack of originality and diversity in the final selections," wrote another. "Three selections out of 21 involve national health care, which may be a great idea, but is hardly original."

These comments came in response to Andy Stern's call for appreciation of the ideas that were chosen after the initial blowback: "I confess -- I'm a bit surprised at the hostility meeting the 21 ideas announced yesterday morning," he wrote. "Let's take a minute to appreciate the work of the 21 people who are finalists -- they are amazing ideas that deserve discussion and consideration."

"If this is what is considered 'amazing' we really, really have sunken to new depths," one commenter responded. Hundreds of commenters offered similar sentiments of disappointment at the 21 finalists.. . .

. . . The debacle illustrates what can happen when a top-down organization like a major labor union tries a "web 2.0" approach without fully preparing itself for all the implications of empowering a network or community; that the participants in fact expect to have power. But how could the union have avoided this outcome? There are few examples to guide how to get something like this right, much less offer a definition of what "right" is. Trailblazing is a trial by fire process. And just because SEIU got a little burned shouldn't be cause for them to stop trying.

The Real Bun in the Oven

The best lesson that the SEIU can get out of this is that the overarching interest of the SSB community is to finish creating itself and to perpetuate the thrill of having a place to check in at night and when the boss isn't looking. For most of SSB's members, this is their first rush of impassioned online involvement, and the feel of the place is just like Dean For America during the salad days 31 months ago. As the contest draws to a close, their union hall is scheduled for demolition. I suggest that abandonment is the subtext and underlying grievance behind the explicit complaints.

As for those explicit complaints, we can blame them on the "Filtering Slope," a term I just coined. In one fell swoop, the 22,000 ideas were narrowed to 70 by a "group of diverse experts," from which the official judges voted for the final 21 candidates, to then be voted on by the members.

Yesterday, in Back to the Oven, Zephyr Teachout had some concrete suggestions that go to the heart of the problem:  

If SEIU actually wanted new, worthwhile ideas it would have structured the contest differently. There would have been much more filtering on the way up, much more asked for than 175 words, and more structured opportunity for collaboration. As some of the SSB commentators noted, giving the whole $100,000 prize to one person leads people to hide thoughts, isolate their creativity, and maximize the gain for themselves. Furthermore, the judges may have been picked for their legitimacy to the community in the abstract, not for their legitimacy as new ideas testers.

(The SEIU added two runner-up $50,000 prizes after the original $100,000 announcement.) 

SSB's Black Box

That 3,000:1 reduction gear, by which 22,000 entries became 70, is the part that has the members upset. It's probably an artifact of the system and is the weakest part of the design because it builds in a potential scaling problem, and doesn't engage the wisdom of the crowd to do the smart filtering, as Zephyr points out. I can't remember if Mike Silberman forecast the response when we had dinner in mid November, but I'm sure it was much greater than expected. Might the questions look better to SSB's members if the "panel of experts" had more time to sift through the questions? Perhaps. In any event, If there had been "only" 2200 entries, the filtering would have been more like a slope than a cliff.

Zephyr comes to the problem with real experience in this kind of design work. She feels that SSB could have been framed better:

Unintended Consequences?

The money offered by SEIU to the best idea submitted creates a huge opportunity -- $100,000 is enough for people to send in loads of suggestions, so when the SEIU crows about what its doing, I’d love to see comparisons of other $100,000 contests with low barriers to entry. I can just feel the muscles in my brain start to stretch when I think of 175 words I could write for the chance to win $100,000. There’s something both charming and disturbing about bribing people into citizenry.

But what strikes me most is that SEIU asked for something it didn't actually want, if that makes sense -- what it wanted was more membership and participation, fresh ways of expressing new ideas, fresh variations on old ideas, so it asked for something it thought would generate that.

Or at least that's my read on it. If the SEIU actually was trying to come up with new ideas to solve something, it would have acted like people act when they are trying to solve something –

“Here’s what I’ve been thinking (about, say, the questions of hidden tariffs and free trade and labor and isolationism) and here’s where I keep getting stuck, and I’m not sure I’m thinking about it the right way.”

Or, if the problem the SEIU was trying to solve was find out what’s important to people--

“Look, we’ve done polls, and while these are helpful they tell us only so much – we’ve done some deliberative polling too but that’s too expensive – this project is a first round in our effort to find out what people dream about when they are asked seriously, not just what they say when they are answering the phone a 8 pm on a Sunday night. We’ll do more rounds, making sure it’s more inclusive. This is a collective brainstorm.”

Taking it from the Top

Zephyr starts her post by describing one person's project to solve the impasse. Brian S. Julin has built a balloting system to harness the judgment of the crowd to sift through all the suggestions by comparing them. Each ballot contains 10 of the 22,000 SSB ideas, each with its own row of 10 radio buttons. You're asked to rate each idea from 0 to 10, like this, after following each idea's link:

worstbest   1043
worstbest   3071
worstbest   8583
worstbest 12694

Done this way, Brian believes that 7040 ballots will catch most of the ideas, though clearly not most of the entries. He's the first to say that it's an imperfect system with sharp edges, but he demonstrates how a community like this will seek ways to improve its systems to protect itself and grow.

It's Deja Viewed All Over Again

Brian's 10 radio buttons per idea is a lot like my issues voting proposal from November, 2003. But in a general sense, Brian's fix is SO reminiscent of the ad hoc systems development at the Dean campaign. Every day, we'd realize that there was something that should be improved and we'd try to come up with a way to deal with it. Generally, it was impossible to do so within the constraints of a campaign. I experienced a great deal of personal frustration because I was happy to try to help with workarounds, though I wasn't qualified to do so. It was just that there was no one else to volunteer. As both my readers know, I have a history of volunteering for low-probability missions.

And that's why I call myself a former Senior Advisor to the Dean Campaign. I was older than everybody there and no one took my advice. My only real claim is that I did put in the hours and made some useful introductions.

ORGware, meet White Horse

I'll use this as a case study next time to describe how our decreasingly vaporous ORGware solves SSB's problem by hitting the Install button.


5:10:33 AM    comment []


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